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Perspectives

Fed Meeting this week should bring us a .50bp rate hike that is already priced into the market

by Fortem Financial May 2, 2022

Equities were sharply lower last week (S&P 500 -3.3%) as stocks made their lowest close of the year. The week was capped off by a big Friday selloff. Some suggest risks are skewed toward a near-term rally given factors, including weak sentiment, low positioning, and oversold conditions. Treasuries were little changed, pausing after the big backup in yields over recent weeks. Best sectors were materials (-0.8%) and technology (-1.3%); worst sectors were consumer discretionary (-7.9%) and REIT… View More

Q2 Earnings are outpacing expectations but Quantitative Tightening (QT) is starting

by Fortem Financial April 25, 2022

U.S. equities were down last week, with the S&P 500 falling 2.7%. The week’s slide was broadly attributed to increasingly hawkish central bank commentary by the Fed and the ECB. Q1 earnings so far are outpacing expectations. The only positive sectors were REITs (+1.2%) and consumer staples (+0.4%); the worst performing sectors were communication services (-7.7%) and energy (-4.6%). 2020 saw both supply & demand shocks as health concerns mounted. But fiscal & monetary support were … View More

Interesting Article in the Wall Street Journal

by Fortem Financial April 20, 2022

Corporate Tax Reform Worked Revenue is surging, exceeding what CBO and critics predicted By The WSJ Editorial Board April 19, 2022 Democrats are still looking to raise $1.6 trillion in new taxes this year, and even Joe Manchin says he’d support a corporate tax increase. The West Virginia Senator might reconsider if he looks at the actual revenue results of the 2017 tax reform that cut corporate tax rates. Reform has been a winner for the economy and federal tax coffers. Remember the claim… View More

Materials, Energy and Industrials are still the best performing sectors of the market

by Fortem Financial April 18, 2022

U.S. equities were lower last week, with the S&P 500 down 2.1%. (Small-cap stocks were modestly higher.) Some bullish talking points didn’t get much market traction, including peak inflation, better supply chain trends, and consumer resilience. These positions were overshadowed by fear around inflation, supply chains, and geopolitics. Best performing sectors (and the only ones positive) were materials (+0.7%), industrials (+0.4%), energy (+0.3%), and consumer staples (+0.2%); worst perform… View More

Housing: Heartburn, Not a Heart Attack

by Fortem Financial April 12, 2022

When interest rates go up, many analysts start to worry about recessions. That's not wrong to do, after all Federal Reserve rate cycles are important. Lately, the market has settled on expectations for a total of about 2.25% or more of interest rate hikes this year. The result is a jump in many longer-term yields. The 10-year Treasury yield is 2.77%, while the typical 30-year mortgage has climbed from 3.2% in December, according to Bankrate.com, to 5.1% recently. So, some analysts think that a … View More

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Our policy about obtaining and disclosing non-public personal information may change from time to time. We will provide you notice of any material change to this policy before we implement the change.

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