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Fed telling us what we already knew last week

by Fortem Financial June 22, 2021

Last week the Federal Reserve held its FOMC meeting and came out with an announcement we already knew. Outside the supply chain disruptions being caused by the global economies reopening, our economy is running hot. This announcement was subtle on Wednesday when Fed Chairman Powell made his meeting wrap up commentary but seemed to garner more attention when comments were made on Friday by one FOMC Member that rates would be raised sooner than expected. One… View More

THE FADING FISCAL POLICY TAILWIND

by Fortem Financial June 15, 2021

The resiliency of US stocks has been remarkable in recent weeks with rising inflation, weaker than expected employment, fiscal stimulus decelerating, geopolitical tensions rising, and new fiscal policy negotiations in disarray. Still, we could not help but notice the change in sentiment among investors this week following a second disappointing employment report. Investors are grappling with tighter China monetary policy and fading fiscal stimulus. Nearly all of the discussions among… View More

Shareholder Yield, Rates, and Inflation

by Fortem Financial June 14, 2021

As the markets’ muted reaction to higher-than-expected inflation rates has indicated, the Fed appears to have done a great job in convincing investors, and perhaps themselves, that signs of persistently higher inflation will be fleeting, or in the Fed’s current parlance that has the feel of being a potential punchline in economic history, “transitory.” (One can’t help but wonder whether the “WIN” buttons from the 1970s (Whip Inflation Now) may somehow be reincarnated.) To the… View More

Earnings season is in the books and it is hard to argue the economy needs more stimulus

by Fortem Financial June 7, 2021

87.5% of Companies Beat Earnings Estimates in 1Q’21 With 99% of the S&P 500 having reported, it’s fair to say that 1Q’21 was a blowout season for earnings. 87.5% of companies beat their earnings estimates for the quarter, a record high going back to the mid-1990s and well above the long-term historical average of 65%. 2021 EPS Growth Revising Up, 2022 Revising Down The S&P 500’s 2021 estimated EPS growth began… View More

GDP is much better than anyone is saying but Stimulus will keep us going through the summer and beyond possibly causing more than transitory inflation

by Fortem Financial June 1, 2021

Stimulus-boosted demand is still outpacing supply. The Atlanta Fed’s tracking estimate for U.S. 2Q real GDP is at 9.3% q/q annualized. Consumption should shift from goods to services over the next several quarters (pent-up demand). In the meantime we have inflation. U.S. core PCE inflation was 3.1% y/y in April. Central bankers have labeled price moves as transitory, but this position is likely to be challenged in the near-term given continued bottlenecks.… View More

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PRIVACY NOTICE REGARDING CLIENT PRIVACY

Fortem Financial Group, LLC, has adopted this policy with recognition that protecting the privacy and security of the non-public personal information we obtain about our customers is an important responsibility.

All financial companies choose how they share your non-public personal information. Federal law gives consumers the right to limit some but not all sharing. Federal law also requires us to tell you how we collect, share, and protect your non-public personal information. Even when you are no longer our customer, we will only share your non-public personal information as described in this notice. So, please read this notice carefully to understand what we do.

The types of non-public personal information we collect and share depend on the product or service you have with us. This information can include items such as your Social Security number and income, your account balances and transaction history, and your investment experience and account transactions.

We collect your non-public personal information in a variety of ways. For example, we obtain your non-public personal information when you open an account or give us your income information, tell us about your portfolio or deposit money, or enter into an investment advisory contract. We also collect your non-public personal information from other companies. For example, from the custodians who hold your account assets.

All financial companies need to share customer’s non-public personal information to run their everyday business. Below, we describe the reasons we can share your non-public personal information and whether you can limit this sharing.

We share your non-public personal information for our everyday business purposes such as to process your transactions, maintain your account(s), respond to court orders and legal investigations, report to credit bureaus, to protect the confidentiality or security of your records, or as permitted by law. We may also share your non-public personal information for our own firm’s marketing purposes; so that we can offer our products and services to you.

Federal law gives you the right to limit only sharing non-public personal information about your credit worthiness for our affiliates’ everyday business purposes; sharing non-public personal information about you with our affiliates to market to you; and sharing non-public personal information with non-affiliates to market to you.

We don’t share non-public personal information about your creditworthiness with our affiliates for their everyday business purposes. We don’t share your non-public personal information with our affiliates to market to you. We don’t share your non-public personal information with non-affiliates to market to you. We also don’t share your non-public personal information for joint marketing with other financial companies. State laws and individual companies may give you additional rights to limit sharing.

We share non-public personal information with our parent company affiliate, Focus Financial Partners, Inc, for its internal and external auditing purposes. We also share your non-public personal information with a non-affiliate for the purpose of aggregating it and providing summary information based on this data to our parent company, Focus Financial Partners, Inc.

To protect your non-public personal information from unauthorized access and use, we use security measures that comply with federal law. These measures include computer safeguards and secured files and buildings.

Our policy about obtaining and disclosing non-public personal information may change from time to time. We will provide you notice of any material change to this policy before we implement the change.

If you have questions please call us at 760-206-8500 or go to our website at www.fortemfin.com.

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Fortem Financial Group, LLC ("Fortem Financial" or the "Firm") is a federally registered investment adviser with offices in California. Fortem Financial and its representatives are in compliance with the current registration and notice filing requirements imposed upon federally registered investment advisers by those states in which Fortem Financial maintains clients. Fortem Financial may only transact business in those states in which it is notice filed, or qualifies for an exemption or exclusion from notice filing requirements.

This website is limited to the dissemination of general information regarding the Firm's investment advisory services offered to U.S. residents residing in states where providing such information is not prohibited by applicable law. Accordingly, the publication of Fortem Financial' website on the Internet should not be construed by any consumer and/or prospective client as a solicitation to effect, or attempt to effect transactions in securities, or the rendering of personalized investment, tax or legal advice. Furthermore, the information resulting from the use of any tools or other information on this website should not be construed, in any manner whatsoever, as the receipt of, or a substitute for, personalized individual advice from Fortem Financial. Any subsequent direct communication from Fortem Financial with a prospective client will be conducted by a representative that is either registered or qualifies for an exemption or exclusion from registration in the state where the prospective client resides. Fortem Financial does not make any representations as to the accuracy, timeliness, suitability, completeness, or relevance of any information prepared by any unaffiliated third party, whether linked to this website or incorporated herein, and takes no responsibility therefore. All such information is provided for convenience purposes only and all users thereof should be guided accordingly.

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