Stocks
Major U.S. indices finished the week lower in a tech-driven pullback. The S&P 500 declined ~1.5%, the Dow Jones fell ~0.8–0.9%, and the Nasdaq dropped ~2.5–2.9%.
Semiconductors and AI-related stocks faced pressure amid concerns over high capital spending, Chinese competition in open-source models, and questions about near-term returns on massive data center investments. Broader rotation favored value, energy, and defensive sectors. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East added volatility.
Bonds
Bond markets were relatively stable to modestly positive. The 10-year Treasury yield ended the week around 4.55%, easing from intra-week highs near 4.62% after softer inflation data reduced rate-hike expectations.
Longer-duration bonds provided some offset to equity weakness. However, renewed oil price strength from Middle East risks kept some upward pressure on yields. Overall, fixed income offered a defensive cushion.
Alternatives
- Commodities: Energy led gains with oil surging ~4–10% on geopolitical supply risks (WTI near $81 at points). Gold and precious metals were mixed to softer amid shifting safe-haven flows. Crypto/Bitcoin: Modest gains (~1%) amid broader market volatility, though it remains sensitive to risk sentiment and upcoming earnings/tech spending signals.
- Outlook: Earnings season (Tesla, Alphabet, ServiceNow, etc.) and Fed signals will dominate this week. Markets are testing AI enthusiasm while rewarding diversification. As always, focus on quality businesses with strong balance sheets amid elevated valuations and macro uncertainties.
Chart reflects price changes, not total return. Because it does not include dividends or splits, it should not be used to benchmark performance of specific investments. Data provided by Refinitiv.
Sincerely,
Fortem Financial
(760) 206-8500
team@fortemfin.com
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