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Perspectives

Commentary on Today's Sell Off

by Fortem Financial October 24, 2018

After a big reversal from yesterday’s down opening, stocks recovered quite nicely to close modestly lower.   "Stocks ended sharply lower today, as losses accelerated into the close and put both the Dow and the S&P 500 into the red for the year, and the Nasdaq into correction territory. Upbeat results from Boeing Co. were credited with briefly pushing the Dow higher in early morning trading, before investors took an increasingly defensive stance,… View More

Q3 Earnings Have Been Great but the Market is Still Not Happy

by Fortem Financial October 22, 2018

Companies including Adobe, Goldman Sachs, Johnson & Johnson and Procter & Gamble reported strong earnings last week.  Notably, Procter & Gamble reported that high demand, rather than price increases, drove its strongest quarterly sales growth in five years.  Of the S&P 500® companies which have so far reported earnings, approximately 90% have exceeded analyst estimates.  Company commentaries reveal the limited impact of tariffs to date while concerns… View More

Seasonal Volatility is back in a big way... What should we be looking at now?

by Fortem Financial October 15, 2018

September and October are traditional the most volatile months of the year.  History shows us the largest one day percentage drop in history was 31 years ago, known as Black Monday, on October 19, 1987. On that day, stockbrokers in New York, London, Hong Kong, Berlin, Tokyo and just about any other city with an exchange stared at the figures running across their displays with a growing sense of dread. A financial strut had buckled and the strain brought world markets tumbling down. However,… View More

Stocks closed sharply lower as Dow sinks over 800 points in worst day since February

by Fortem Financial October 10, 2018

U.S. stocks slumped to close sharply lower today as the Dow Jones Industrial Average sank more than 800 points and the S&P 500 had its worst day since February as technology stocks went into a freefall. Investors were spooked by rising bond yields dumped equities in all sectors, triggering a broad market rout.  The Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA, -3.15% skidded 831.83 points, or 3.2%, to 25,598.74, logging its worst one-day drop since February. The S&P 500 index lost… View More

We think investors are overestimating the potential negative impact of a "trade war"

by Fortem Financial October 8, 2018

Investors still seem to be underestimating the revitalizing effects of the fiscal stimulus and regulatory easing while overestimating the potential negative impact of a “trade war.” This suggests to us an increase in real GDP, inflation, bond yields, earnings, and stock prices as the year progresses. The pace of stock price appreciation (the multiple), however is likely to slow as the real economy lures liquidity away from financial assets. We continue to have a bias of… View More

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