Each year, we bring you our friend, the CEO and CFO of Crossmark Investments, and his annual predictions that will affect the market. The following is a recap of his predictions: Summary The U.S stock market experienced a better-than-expected third year in a row of double-digit percentage gains. Earnings growth was quite good as AI-related businesses exceeded expectations. A 20% tariff-related decline led to a 40% recovery in the S&P 500. By year-end, investors are hopeful for yet anot… View More
Earnings Growth Outlook Improving, Hard To Be Too Negative Heading Into 2026 With 3Q reporting nearing an end and the fourth quarter coming into focus, we’re seeing an interesting trend: earnings estimates are once again being revised higher—much like what we saw in the third quarter. This pattern is unusual, especially at this stage of the year. The 4Q earnings estimate now stands at 8.2%, up from 7.7% on October 1. Revenue expectations are also strong, with forecasts calling for 7.0% gro… View More
In today’s Investment Strategy Note, we discuss the undeniably strong profit trends, begin to consider the narrative heading into 2026, and address the two near-term risks we continue to observe. Profit Growth Continues To Trend Higher With the third quarter reporting season nearly wrapped up, the fundamental backdrop for equities remains supportive as we move toward 2026. As of the end of November, the subsequent twelve-month earnings growth stands at 12.5%, the highest level since Janu… View More
Nvidia Delivery Wasn’t Enough, Fed Cuts By Year 2026 Ticking Higher Nvidia’s earnings report didn’t raise any red flags; in fact, it was expected to help ease concerns about the broader A.I. capex cycle. The market’s reversal last week seemed driven by factors beyond A.I. alone. It’s also worth noting that Fed rate-cut odds have started to tick higher again. Despite the ongoing commentary from Fed officials about lingering inflation risks, there are not many signs of seeing that infla… View More
A relatively new term was bandied about during and after the off-year elections held two weeks ago that the chattering classes deemed critical in determining the outcome – “affordability”. The thesaurus function built into the Word program in which this essay found no synonyms for affordability. Still, taking a stab at it and say that it is a euphemism for inflation. It’s hard to know, of course, but it seems reasonable to assume that the cost of everyday items has become an increasingly… View More